Archives for: September 2009
The Drive-By Bloviator tendency
...is very evident in the online responses to this article in Wired magazine, summarizing research by scientists that shows that torture is really a poor and ineffective mechanism for obtaining useful information in any context.
The article comments are notable for a number of instances of what I term drive-By bloviation. The commenters in question appear to be contemptuous of any conclusion based on research (you know, pesky stuff like facts, evidence and logical reasoning), since They Already Know The Right Answer. In this case, The Right Answer usually revolves around unfettered abuse during interrogation of prisoners, including more torture (surprise, surprise). The fact that the research under discussion in the article is not exactly unique or an outlier (there are numerous studies of interrogation techniques that have mostly reached exactly the same general conclusions) also appears to have been overlooked, although I have found over the years that one of the defining characteristics of drive-by bloviators is that they are totally incurious - they have no interest in doing any research or reading of their own, they simply jump on the first thing that they disagree with and savage it.
These people are contemptuous of science in all of its forms, have no understanding of the basic principles of jurisprudence (namely, that inconvenient presumption of innocence until compelling evidence to the contrary is discovered). Additionally they are insulting my intelligence and wasting my reading time by failing to even construct a semblance of an argument, although they certainly seem to like writing long and fine-sounding collections of high-and-mighty sounding phrases and sentences, which would probably sound great at the local bar over a few beers, but when written down, simply read like the pompus utterances of conceited, know-nothing drunks.
These people wouldn't know a sensible argument if it bit them in the ass, and more notably, they don't want to recognize the existence of any argument or information that would threaten or puncture the echo-chamber that they appear to live in.
It is also notable that most of the commenters are posting once then are never to be seen again. They clearly have no interest in a debate, they are Right.
In short, many of these comments are mediocre, ignorant, nonsense - the worst kind of ignorant drive-by bloviation.
UPDATE - One thing I have discovered over the years is that authoritarians are deeply unhappy when they are confronted by scientists and other learned and educated people attempting to point out that their worldviews are fundamentally fallacious and flawed. Just try putting a politician and a criminologist on the same stage and watch how long it takes for the politician to start dismissing the criminologist's views on law and order as "out of touch", "in an ivory tower" etc. etc. Usually the politicians are pandering to electors by suggesting authoritarian and useless answers to complex law and order issues, and the criminologists are often pointing out that if, by golly, the solution is all so damn simple (usually some variant on "Hang 'em High"), why (a) has it not been tried decades ago, and (b) why is it being suggested for the nth time in decades? (hint: perhaps It Doesn't Work).
The dynamics of player contracts in the NFL
...are explored in this article by former NFL player Ross Tucker, where he explains, that while fans are only too willing to come down hard on players who demand that their contracts be re-negotiated, the reverse is often true:
I received a call from an active player around 10 a.m. last Saturday, the day teams reduced their roster to 53. His team had just informed him (via his agent) that he would be released if he didn't agree to a significant pay cut. The player had about two hours to think it over and get back to his organization. No pressure, right?
...Most fans dislike when players sit out OTAs or training camp while angling for a new contract. The consensus seems to be that players should honor their signed deals. That's a fine thought, of course, but in this case, which party isn't honoring the long-term contract? As it stands, I think these conversations happen more often than we realize, they just aren't publicized.
As Tucker explains, the gambit of demanding that a player reduce his salary or be released has been played a number of times by teams in this off-season. When you add to that the fact that a team can cut a player at any time (if it can absorb the cap hit), the deck suddenly does not look to be stacked in the favour of the players.
Tucker's musing hits the big issue:
...I think the time will come when a player takes the next step in the game of leverage that is constantly being waged between front offices and players. If a player wants his outdated contract redone or, better yet, wants the team to cut him and put him on the lucrative free-agent market, then withholding services for a regular season or playoff game is the biggest card a player can play.
Will it happen this year? Maybe not. Will it happen soon. I think it will.
Cash4Gold and it's creative business model
The NFL Coaching model and why it is dysfunctional
It is difficult to conclude that there is something wrong with the current coaching model in the NFL.
For a start, here is the list of Superbowl-winning coaches who recently left teams and are currently sitting out:
Brian Billick
Bill Cowher
Tony Dungy
Jon Gruden
Mike Holmgren
Mike Martz
Mike Shanahan
The interesting thing to note here is that Dungy, Holmgren and Cowher all walked away from the game, they were not forced out or fired.
In the "unlikely to coach again but that is not certain until the coffin lid slams shut" category we have:
Mike Ditka
Jimmy Johnson
Dan Reeves
George Siefert
Marty Schottenheimer
Barry Switzer
Former Head Coaches on NFL staffs:
Cam Cameron
Dave Campo
Scott Linehan
Rod Marinelli
Mike Mularkey
Mike Nolan
Gregg Williams
Former head coaches currently sitting it out or employed elsewhere
Romeo Crennel
Herm Edwards
Dennis Erickson
Jim Fassel
Chan Gailey
Dennis Green
Jim Haslett
Lane Kiffin
Bobby Petrino
This is a pretty long list of top-flight coaches. This does not include other coaches who decided to pass up the opportunity of being an NFL head coach and instead moved to the college game (Charlie Weis, Dave Wannstedt). Add a couple of other coaches who tried out the NFL and decided that college was more fun (Steve Spurrier, Nick Saban).
Right now, because of the trend towards hiring younger coaches, we have a number of NFL head coaches in their early to mid 30's. This clearly can work (see Mike Tomlin in Pittsburgh) if there is continuity in the coaching staff.
In addition to the massive number of former head coaches either bouncing around other jobs or sitting on the sidelines, the firing of 3 offensive co-ordinators in one week in pre-season is unprecedented.
In the case of the Buffalo Bills, the firing of Turk Schonert is probably a result of results pressure on head coach Dick Jauron, who will almost certainly be fired if the Bills do not make it into the playoffs. The fact that Jauron and his assistants were summoned to meet with Bills owner Ralph Wilson suggests that they are collectively operating with a very short rope that could rapidly tighten to a noose. The poor performance of the Bills' new no-huddle offense in pre-season left the Bills looking for answers, and firing the OC is a pretty good answer, for now. Whether it will improve the operation of the offense, only time will tell. The remainder of the offensive staff is inexperienced, which does not inspire a lot of confidence. Even with Terrell Owens, the Bills offense is unlikely to strike terror into opposing teams. They may simply double-team him out of existence, and then rely on the overall mediocrity of the rest of the offense to throttle the Bills and win games.
In the case of the firing of Chan Gailey by new Chiefs coach Todd Haley, this can be explained in terms of Haley being a coach with an offensive background who wants to call the plays himself. This is not new in NFL head coaching circles. A lot of head coaches call or called the offensive plays themselves. Thinking of past coaches we have Bill Parcells, Mike Holmgren, Mike Martz to name but three. Gailey was a holdover from the Herm Edwards era, but sooner or later Haley and he would probably have clashed over offensive play-calling, especially since Gailey is more conservative than Haley.
The case of the firing of Jeff Jagodzinski in Tampa Bay is the most puzzling, but also in many ways the most revealing. Although Bucs coach Raheem Morris seemed determined to obfuscate over the real reasons for Jagodzinski's dismissal, there were plenty of leaks from with the Bucs organization attempting to explain the underlying reason for his firing.
Most of the reasons however, appear to me to be symptomatic of the fact that Jagodzinski, unlike many other NFL coaches, seems to think that a head coach is there to set direction, and then get out of the way and let his assistants coach. He deferred most of the play-calling and coaching details to his assistants, only providing directional input on plays. This apparently led to issues when the Bucs tried game simulations, and the multiple coaches involved in relaying plays to the quarterback led to delay of game penalties. However, by all accounts, the Bucs additionally wanted him to be wading into all of the little details of running an NFL offense, going beyond the zone-blocking scheme for which he had become known from his previous NFL time with the Atlanta Falcons. When he declined to do that, the conclusion that the Bucs seemed to reach was that he was in over his head.
While the firing of Jagodzinski sounds like a classic mismatch of expectations on both sides, it is also revealing. The NFL coaching model appears to place a high premium on head coaches and co-ordinators engaging in detail coaching activities. Jagodzinski, who came back into the NFL from Boston College, where he had been the head coach (but was fired after he interviewed for the vacant New York Jets head coaching position), seemed to have evolved a model where he delegated a lot of detail work to his co-ordinators and position coaches. This apparently did not sit at all well with Raheem Morris or the Bucs front office.
From observing recent events, it appears that offensive co-ordinators who try to delegate too much detail work being labelled as incompetent or out of their depth, while co-ordinators who are working for a head coach who was previously an offensive co-ordinator risk being emasculated, and ultimately rendered disposable. It is interesting that we do not see the same model of head coaches calling defensive strategy in games, even though a lot of head coaches have defensive backgrounds. Most head coaches are content to have the defensive co-ordinator run that side of the team.
All of which suggests to me that the overall coaching model, when compared to a conventional business, is decidedly dysfunctional. It also appears that the youth movement in coaching has taken over to a ludicrous extent, when coaches like Mike Shanahan, Jon Gruden, Tony Dungy and Bill Cowher are sitting on the sidelines collecting money from their previous franchises for doing nothing.